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OT: Boogs 2020 Not Men's Softball


D1Baseball article in the spoiler

Top 25 Breakdown: No. 8 Auburn
SEASON PREVIEW Aaron Fitt - January 14, 2020

2019 Record: 38-28. RPI: 19.
Coach (Record at school): Butch Thompson (141-104 in 4 seasons)
Ballpark: Plainsman Park (4,100)
Postseason History: 22 regionals (active streak: 3), 5 CWS trips (active streak: 1).
More: Fall Report on Auburn
Schedule, Stats, Team News: Follow the Tigers all season long at our Auburn Team Page.

Auburn's Projected Lineup
Pos. Name, Yr. AVG/OBP/SLG HR RBI SB
C Matt Scheffler, Sr. .260/.331/.342 2 28 5
1B Rankin Woley, Sr. .277/.336/.387 3 45 2
2B Garrett Farquhar, Jr. Tr. — Shelton State (Ala.) JC
3B Brody Moore, So. .333/.379/.444 0 4 0
SS Ryan Bliss, So. .281/.367/.369 3 37 11
LF Judd Ward, Jr. .272/.377/.393 5 34 5
CF Kason Howell, So. .262/.340/.307 0 28 14
RF Steven Williams, Jr. .247/.355/.413 9 36 3
DH Conor Davis, Sr. .290/.351/.448 8 36 2
Pos. Name, Yr. W-L ERA IP SO BB SV
SP #1 Tanner Burns, Jr. 4-4 2.82 79.2 101 23 0
SP #2 Jack Owen, Jr. 4-2 2.75 68.2 59 14 0
SP #3 Bailey Horn, Jr. 4-2 5.97 37.2 31 20 0
Closer Cody Greenhill, Jr. 2-3 3.45 57.1 44 18 12


Grading The Tigers
Just as scouts grade prospects using the 20-80 scouting scale, we use a 20-80 scale to evaluate teams in our top 25. A score of 50 in each category is average, relative to a typical NCAA tournament team; 55 is slightly above-average; 60 is above-average (plus); 70 is well above-average (plus-plus); 80 is top of the scale, historically strong. Accordingly, 45 is fringe-average or slightly below-average; 40 is below-average; 30 is well below-average; and 20 is the extreme in that direction.

Hitting: 55
Auburn’s offense under-performed for much of last season, finishing ninth in the SEC in batting and 10th in scoring. But seven everyday regulars are back in the fold, and there’s reason to believe many of them will take steps forward with another year of experience under their belts. It might not be a flashy offense, but Auburn figures to get plenty of competitive at-bats up and down the lineup. The Tigers have a trio of gritty, athletic fire-starters with good bat-handling skills in Ward, Bliss and Howell, who could all compete for time in the top two spots in the batting order, but Auburn hopes all three can reduce their strikeout rates in 2020. Ward, a compact lefthanded hitter with a nice line-drive, gap-to-gap approach, is a warrior in the batter’s box and could be the favorite for the leadoff spot. Bliss and Howell are contact-oriented hitters from the right side, but Howell in particular stood out this fall for his strength gains, making him an obvious breakout candidate.

Hitting coach Gabe Gross identified Woley as one of Auburn’s most improved hitters this fall, so look for a jump from last year’s decent production. Williams and Davis figure to be the centerpieces of the offense; Williams also put on good weight in the offseason and showed a much-improved ability to drive the ball middle-away. Scheffler’s calling card is his defense, but he also made noticeable strength gains after spending the summer working out with Williams and Howell. Juco transfer Farquhar turned in one quality at-bat after another in the fall, and his line-drive stroke should play well in his first season at the Division I level. And Moore looks poised to take a step forward as a sophomore after showing glimpses of offensive potential as a freshman.

Power: 45
Auburn ranked next-to-last in the SEC in home runs and slugging a year ago, and it lost its top two home run hitters in Edouard Julien and Will Holland. But Williams has light-tower power from the left side and could realistically double his eight-homer output from a year ago now that he’s added strength and made strides with his offensive approach. The physically mature Davis offers double-digit homer ability from the right side and has a knack for delivering the timely hit. It’s reasonable to expect Woley and Ward to hit for a little more power this year as well, though neither profiles as a true slugger. Freshman two-way talent Nate LaRue, the likely backup catcher, brings exciting bat speed and power potential from the right side, but it’s unclear how many at-bats he’ll log as a freshman, particularly since he could wind up as a key bullpen arm. Expect this to be more of a doubles team than a long ball squad.

Speed: 50
The Tigers were an efficient basestealing team a year ago, swiping 63 bags in 76 attempts (an 83 percent success rate). Howell (14-for-16) and Bliss (11-for-13) are the top two threats on the basepaths — both are above-average runners who pick their spots well. Ward is a solid-average to slightly above-average runner, while Moore and Farquhar move around fine, though neither is a burner. Scheffler also runs well for a catcher, showing fringe-average run times from home to first. But the speed game doesn’t figure to be a big part of Auburn’s attack, overall.

Defense: 55
The Tigers were an average defensive team last spring, ranking 78th in the nation with a .973 fielding percentage, but their returning experience should translate to more defensive consistency in 2020. Scheffler is the general, a mature defensive catcher who blocks and receives well and owns off a strong, accurate arm and quick release, though LaRue offers even more arm strength. Howell and Ward are outstanding in the outfield, and Williams owns a cannon in right field. Farquhar is a fundamentally sound, reliable second baseman, and Moore is a fluid athlete who looks the part at the hot corner, though he could also slide to shortstop if needed. The biggest question is whether Auburn will move Bliss from second (where he was very good last year) to short; his arm is a little light for the position, but he can make up for it by aggressively charging the ball and getting rid of it quickly and accurately.
 
Part 2

Starting Pitching: 65

Pitching looks like Auburn’s greatest strength in 2020, and it starts with the loaded weekend rotation. Burns should be one of the nation’s premier aces, with a 91-95 mph fastball, a putaway slider, solid changeup and good command. The key for him is maintaining his strength all season long, and coach Butch Thompson suggested that something as simple as an added emphasis on hydration could help him do that. Owen is a finesse lefty with advanced feel for an 86-90 fastball, a plus changeup in the low 80s and a decent curveball, and he proved himself as a reliable SEC starter last spring after transferring in from the juco ranks.

Horn, a fourth-year junior lefty, is the big pick to click after working his way back from injury and coming on strong down the stretch last spring. Physical and athletic with a nice three-pitch mix, Horn was overpowering in our look this fall, pitching at 92-93 with a good slider at 81-82, and he owns a quality changeup as well. A third lefty, sophomore Brooks Fuller, also has starting experience (eight starts among his 20 appearances last year). Like Owen, Fuller has a long, loose arm action and good deception that makes his 86-89 mph fastball play up, and his calling card is a very nice big-breaking curveball at 75-78. Fuller looks like the favorite to serve as the midweek starter.

Bullpen: 65
Auburn’s pitching staff is deeper than it has been in years, giving Thompson an exciting collection of weapons to complement one of the SEC’s premier closers in Greenhill. A proven warrior who competes as hard as any pitcher in college baseball, Greenhill’s bread and butter are his lively fastball and his aggressiveness. The Tigers are still trying to figure out how best to deploy him to get the most out of him, because he has tended to show premium velocity (think 95-97) in his first appearance of a weekend, then lesser stuff (maybe 89-90) in his second outing. Perhaps the answer is to use him once per weekend for multiple innings as a stopper/long reliever hybrid. Auburn will certainly have enough arms in the bullpen that it shouldn’t need to rely on Greenhill to close out multiple games per week. Senior righty Ryan Watson has loads of experience and decent enough stuff — a nice downer breaking ball at 73-77 with good bite to go along with his 89-90 fastball. Another intriguing returning arm is sophomore lefthander Garrett Wade, the highest-profile member of last year’s recruiting class. Wade made seven starts and eight relief appearances as a freshman but logged just 33.1 innings, as spotty command held him back. He has a quick arm and a promising slider and changeup, making him something of an X-factor on this staff, a potential difference maker if he can refine his command and continue to “get comfortable,” as Thompson put it.

Sophomores Carson Skipper and Richard Fitts each got a taste of starting in SEC play last spring, and Thompson said both of them made jumps this fall. Skipper, a 6-foot-3 lefty with an over-the-top Iron Mike-style delivery, worked downhill at 88-90 and showed excellent tumble and arm speed on his 80-83 changeup in our fall look. Fitts really stands out for his advanced command of a low-90s fastball, but he also mixes in a decent low-80s slider effectively.

Auburn’s strong recruiting class brought a bushel of reinforcements for the bullpen. Freshman Hayden Mullins is one of the biggest names in the class, a 6-foot lefty who has been up to 94 mph with feel for a breaking ball and good pitchability. Trace Bright, a 6-4 righty, has looked even better than the Tigers expected this fall, working at 90-92 with a promising breaking ball and the ability to land his changeup for strikes. Freshman righty Mason Barnett missed time in the fall with a stress fracture in his back but was up to 95 mph last year. LaRue owns a clean high three-quarters arm action and worked at 89-91 with a wicked hammer curveball at 78-79 in the fall. Expect low three-quarters righty Blake Burkhalter to serve as another big bullpen weapon. He sat 89-92 with funk and life this fall and has good two-plane action on his 78-81 slider. Lefty Peyton Glavine, the son of Hall of Famer Tom Glavine, is a 5-foot-11 bulldog with a longer three-quarters arm action and some front-side funk that makes his 87-89 fastball play up, and the pitch has good arm-side run when it’s down in the zone. He also showed feel for a nice fading changeup at 82. Two more juco transfers to watch are Jackson Reynolds and Drew Baker, the latter of whom showed big-time arm strength in the fall along with command that remained a work in progress. A three-quarters righty with a short, quick arm action, Baker sat 91-94 and touched 95 in our fall look.

Experience/Intangibles: 65
The regular season was a grind for Auburn last spring, but the Tigers showed admirable toughness and resilience, and their high character really carried them through the postseason to Omaha for the first time since 1997. Those attributes figure to remain major strengths once again, because this team is loaded with experienced veterans who now know the way to Omaha. Expectations will be higher entering this season than they have been in a long time on the Plains, but this group has the makeup and leadership to thrive under the spotlight.
 
I’d rather them sell it than not....but not crazy that you can only drink it on the Terrace level. Potentially it could get really crowded. They want to “test” it but by keeping everybody in such close proximity, they could be asking for trouble IMO.

They had something similar last year, but it was on the 1st base side and I think it was just beer. Could be wrong though on the beer part.
 
Last game I attended in PP, I got to see Casey Mize shutdown the Dores, but the highlight was getting about 15 feet of BRUCE, but didn’t bother him. Last game before that was that fiasco series with the Bams three years ago. They had only three conference games all year & swept the Boogs. I will say @Slippin Jimmy warned everyone on tbb, and man was he right. I liked a couple of his comments & my DM box blew up. Way to serious personas over there.
Hoping to make the UK series or something this year.
 
2-0 start for the fighting Jimmy’s. Somebody tell me why Greenhill isn’t a starter this year? Did anybody else think he would be???
 
2-0 start for the fighting Jimmy’s. Somebody tell me why Greenhill isn’t a starter this year? Did anybody else think he would be???

3-0. He’s a closer that can also be a long relief guy. When you’re a mostly fastball guy, that’s your best role.
 
Heard he was getting a third pitch down all off season. Assumed he would make the move.

I didn’t know he had a 2nd pitch

In all seriousness, I think Butch wants a closer like him. I think we have an abundance of starters this year. Burns, Owen, Fitts and Horn are all battling for a weekend job and all looked pretty good this weekend. I think I just saw where Horn has 7 K’s through 4 innings.
 
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I didn’t know he had a 2nd pitch

In all seriousness, I think Butch wants a closer like him. I think we have an abundance of starters this year. Burns, Owen, Fitts and Horn are all battling for a weekend job and all looked pretty good this weekend. I think I just saw where Horn has 7 K’s through 4 innings.

Watched and listened to all the games this weekend. Only one series, but dang we played almost flawless every game. Everyone who played hit the hell out of the ball. Pitching was dominate as well. 4 games and 0 errors. What impressed me the most was our depth and 2 strike hitting with runners in scoring position. Again it’s only 1 series, but we will lead the SEC in almost every offensive category except HR’s after 4 games. Think we have like 14 doubles which is twice as many as whoever is in 2nd. Judd hit for the cycle. Bliss and Woly batting over .500 driving in and scoring tons of runs. Williams looked dialed in before he was taken out today for unknown reason. Howell got hurt and did it play today, but it did not matter because whoever they put in for him crushed the ball. I know it’s UIC, but they won their league and made tournament 3 out of 4 last years. Their ace who pitched game 1 was player of year last year in Horizon league and their starter today Butch said is their best pitcher who is a transfer from UVA. So they are not just some scrub team. Long way to go, but it was pretty exciting to see us start out being so dominate in all 3 phases of the game.
 
First of all, let me start this by saying I haven’t even remotely given up on our HYG’s. Might end up being a somewhat disappointing tourney situation like 2 years ago, but we are going for the 3rd straight year. I still have faith that our seniors and Issac pull something out of their asses come tourney time.


All that being said, I’m pretty pumped about this baseball squad. Going to have a chance to be one of our most complete squads. I’m high on our pitching, high on our hitting, and feel like our fielding is going to be plenty good enough. This weekend rotation has me in my feels. Of course the conference is crazy good and you’re always an injury or two away from things falling apart. Anyway, I’m hoping for hosting a Super and another trip to Omaha.

 
Really liking what I’ve seen from this team so far. Still think the goal should be hosting a regional and in the discussion for a top 8 seed to host a SR.
 
Really liking what I’ve seen from this team so far. Still think the goal should be hosting a regional and in the discussion for a top 8 seed to host a SR.

Haha, that’s completely fair. I got a little carried away, but I’m just excited about this roster. I’m not sure we have ever been this deep at pitcher, but they will have to show it during the season for me to be correct.
 
This sweep is on you

I feel like I am partially responsible for this one. I thought way too much of this team after the first series. UFC is a pretty good squad. Nice to see the bats woke up in the mid weeks.

Hopefully we can get a sweep this weekend. Don’t know much about this WS squad other than they are 2-5, but they did beat Louisville 10-3 for one of their wins. Miss State swept them in the opening series, but did not score more than 6 runs in any game against their pitching. Hard to tell much from that stat as Miss State’s offense has been pretty poor all year so far.
 
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I feel like I am partially responsible for this one. I thought way too much of this team after the first series. UFC is a pretty good squad. Nice to see the bats woke up in the mid weeks.

Hopefully we can get a sweep this weekend. Don’t know much about this WS squad other than they are 2-5, but they did beat Louisville 10-3 for one of their wins. Miss State swept them in the opening series, but did not score more than 6 runs in any game against their pitching. Hard to tell much from that stat as Miss State’s offense has been pretty poor all year so far.

I think having two starters out hurt us offensively against UCF, but we also had some guys we should be able to rely on come up in big spots and not deliver. In the grand scheme of things that sweep won't kill us if we can perform in SEC play, but it does give me some concern. Really excited about where this pitching staff should be by the end of the year, lots of good young arms to go with several guys that performed for us last year.
 


Interesting?? So Casey Mize was/is considered a top 25 baseball prospect OF ALL TIME? I know he went #1 overall, but that's still wild
 
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Good week for Butch. Everybody needs to put in for 2 weeks vacay next June. Will be the shit for AU baseball fans.
 
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Good week for Butch. Everybody needs to put in for 2 weeks vacay next June. Will be the shit for AU baseball fans.

Things are looking good for sure, but I can't help but feel like we really missed out on getting to see Burns, Horn and the other guys in post-season baseball.
 
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Things are looking good for sure, but I can't help but feel like we really missed out on getting to see Burns, Horn and the other guys in post-season baseball.
Damn shame Butch couldn’t accomplish anything with all those studs on the roster
 
Things are looking good for sure, but I can't help but feel like we really missed out on getting to see Burns, Horn and the other guys in post-season baseball.

No doubt this year was going to be special. Bruce and Butch both lost a chance to hang banners.
 
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