OT: Boogs vs Ole Miss not men’s softball

[DufnerFanBoy]

Series starts tomorrow. Pitching rotation for Auburn is altered a bit.

Thursday: Davis Daniel vs Ryan Rolison
Friday: Casey Mize vs Brady Fiegl
Saturday: Tanner Burns vs James McArthur

 

[anon_xdkqbpnrbtnct]

Time to beat some ass

 

[WDE_Tarp]

Series starts tomorrow. Pitching rotation for Auburn is altered a bit.

Thursday: Davis Daniel vs Ryan Rolison
Friday: Casey Mize vs Brady Fiegl
Saturday: Tanner Burns vs James McArthur

Is Rolison their number 1?

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

Is Rolison their number 1?

Yeah, he’s projected as a first round pick. Hasn’t had a great year but has really good potential. He’s a lefty who will probably give us some trouble if he commands his stuff. Command is his biggest issue.

 

[Slippin Jimmy]

Got a bad feeling about this one

 

[Harvey Specter]

Got a bad feeling about this one

Butch has overused Mize and it’s potentially led to him being the number one pick. He’s completely botched this one by letting him leave early

 

[MomentInTheSun]

What if both Mize and Stidham both go #1 overall in their perspective drafts? Wonder if any other school could boast that? Not saying it's gonna happen but the preseason hype surrounding Stidham is already pretty ridic

 

[ALLTIGER85]

If we win all three I’ll feel good about the sweep. If we don’t then the sweep is highly unlikely.

 

[cookedw]

If we win all three I’ll feel good about the sweep. If we don’t then the sweep is highly unlikely.

I can't stop laughing at this

 

[cookedw]

Based on the latest projections.

If we can win these last two series (or 4 of the final 6 SEC games), we are likely a National Seed.

Crazy

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

Based on the latest projections.

If we can win these last two series (or 4 of the final 6 SEC games), we are likely a National Seed.

Crazy

Gotta wonder who will get national seeds from the SEC. I don’t think there will be more than three. Right now, I think Florida is a lock, Arkansas is close to a lock, and then UGA, Ole Miss, and Auburn are in the mix. Our series with OM and the UGA/Ark series could be elimination series for National seeds.

 

[cookedw]

Gotta wonder who will get national seeds from the SEC. I don’t think there will be more than three. Right now, I think Florida is a lock, Arkansas is close to a lock, and then UGA, Ole Miss, and Auburn are in the mix. Our series with OM and the UGA/Ark series could be elimination series for National seeds.

I definitely think our series with OM will be an eliminator. UGA goes to UF this weekend. They need to make sure they get at least one win. If they do that, then I could see their series with Arky next weekend being an eliminator (especially if we win the next two series).

 

[cookedw]

@DufnerFanBoy

I saw where Dallas Woolfolk left the Ole Miss program. Is that a big loss for them? Tried to do a little research and realized he had lost his closer job (to the stud they have closing now), but seemed like he may have been one of the best bullpen arms.

 

[Harvey Specter]

Why davis Daniel? Thought we had a consensus that he’s not good enough right now?

 

[WDE_Tarp]

Why davis Daniel? Thought we had a consensus that he’s not good enough right now?

I think it's just to get everyone on the rotation we want. Mitchell would start if he hadn't thrown so much on Sunday. I think next week Mitchell will start. Thursdays are still going to be by committee I think.

 

[cookedw]

Why davis Daniel? Thought we had a consensus that he’s not good enough right now?

I think it probably has more to do with the Th-Sat schedule. HE only through one inning this past weekend, while the other potential starters all through multiple innings.

With Butch wanting to keep Mize and Burns on Fri/Sat, Sunday to Thursday on short rest. He has the stuff to be a really good starter, but with him, it all comes down to control and whether or not he can throw his off speed stuff for strikes.

With this move, Id be willing to bet he will probably use Coker and Anderson out of the bullpen and try to hold Greenhill and Mitchell for Fri/Sat (unless either of them just come in for an innings or so.

 

[Slippin Jimmy]

I think it probably has more to do with the Th-Sat schedule. HE only through one inning this past weekend, while the other potential starters all through multiple innings.

With Butch wanting to keep Mize and Burns on Fri/Sat, Sunday to Thursday on short rest. He has the stuff to be a really good starter, but with him, it all comes down to control and whether or not he can throw his off speed stuff for strikes.

With this move, Id be willing to bet he will probably use Coker and Anderson out of the bullpen and try to hold Greenhill and Mitchell for Fri/Sat (unless either of them just come in for an innings or so.

Hopefully he can get us threw 4 or 5 innings

 

[cookedw]

Hopefully he can get us threw 4 or 5 innings

That wood have a great affect on the team, assuming he through 4 or 5 good innings. Either weigh, their going be to be tough to beet in Oxford.

 

[WDE_Tarp]

I think it probably has more to do with the Th-Sat schedule. HE only through one inning this past weekend, while the other potential starters all through multiple innings.

With Butch wanting to keep Mize and Burns on Fri/Sat, Sunday to Thursday on short rest. He has the stuff to be a really good starter, but with him, it all comes down to control and whether or not he can throw his off speed stuff for strikes.

With this move, Id be willing to bet he will probably use Coker and Anderson out of the bullpen and try to hold Greenhill and Mitchell for Fri/Sat (unless either of them just come in for an innings or so.

I could be wrong, but I think he has these groups in his mind:

Daniel/Mitchell/Coker(if a chance to win)/Anderson or Welby (if no chance to win or a big lead).
Mize/Coker (if not burned) possibly Greenhill in an emergency
Burns/Greenhill

That could however change because of the new schedule.

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

@DufnerFanBoy

I saw where Dallas Woolfolk left the Ole Miss program. Is that a big loss for them? Tried to do a little research and realized he had lost his closer job (to the stud they have closing now), but seemed like he may have been one of the best bullpen arms.

He was a stud last year. Hasn't been nearly the same this year. A well respected poster on Scout said the word is he's dealing with some serious anxiety issues. At his best, he's probably their best bullpen arm, but he hasn't been a major factor for them this year.

 

[cookedw]

I could be wrong, but I think he has these groups in his mind:

Daniel/Mitchell/Coker(if a chance to win)/Anderson or Welby (if no chance to win or a big lead).
Mize/Coker (if not burned) possibly Greenhill in an emergency
Burns/Greenhill

That could however change because of the new schedule.

The reason Is said no Mitchell tonight is that I think he would have started him today if he was going to use him. Could be completely wrong, though

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

Why davis Daniel? Thought we had a consensus that he’s not good enough right now?

Really a matter of necessity. Davis has starting experience on the road in the SEC. He won 2 road games last year as a freshman. Don't really have anyone else on the roster that is available with that kind of experience. Plus, they've made some adjustments to allow him to be more consistent, which he talked about in an article and seemed pleased with. It's also allowing him to throw a little harder, but he said it probably will limit his durability, which IMO isn't a bad thing at all. If you can get 4 clean innings from him, that's a win.

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

I could be wrong, but I think he has these groups in his mind:

Daniel/Mitchell/Coker(if a chance to win)/Anderson or Welby (if no chance to win or a big lead).
Mize/Coker (if not burned) possibly Greenhill in an emergency
Burns/Greenhill

That could however change because of the new schedule.

Don't know if Mitchell or Malczewski will be available tonight. I feel like Mitchell could go an inning or two, but I hope we don't need him. And Welby threw 5 innings Tuesday. So I don't think we'd see him until probably Saturday.

My concern about tonight is using up the bullpen to get a win and not having enough to relieve Mize tomorrow or Burns on Saturday. We can't expect Mize to go a full game. So, my guess is we hold Greenhill for tomorrow unless we absolutely have to have him tonight. That would put a lot of pressure on Daniel, Coker, Mitchell, etc to eat a bunch of innings.

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

And just because I got curious about how well our offense is performing right now compared to how it started the season, I tallied some numbers. I looked at the last 12 games, or games since the Miss St series when our batting average in SEC play was .199, and compared them to the OOC numbers and the first 22 OOC games so as not to include the last three OOC games that are included in the last 12 numbers. The offensive numbers early in the season were impressive and cause for conversation as to whether they were actually good due to competition.

Last 12: 99-296 (.335), 7 runs/gm, 6.75 RBI/gm, 3.5 BB/gm, 1.17 HR/gm

OOC: 245-737 (.332), 7.6 runs/gm, 7.3 RBI/gm, 4.8 BB/gm, 1.28 HR/gm

First 22 OOC: 213-649 (.328), 7.5 runs/gm, 7.2 RBI/gm, 5 BB/gm, 1.2 HR/gm

Basically, the offense in the last 12 games, including 3 SEC series, is on a similar production path to our early offensive production, which is obviously a good thing. I also looked to separate out the Bama series because of the gaudy numbers, but then I looked at Alabama's results and noticed no one else had really produced like that against them. So that seems like more of a product of Auburn's offense than Bama sucking.

 

[WDE_Tarp]

The reason Is said no Mitchell tonight is that I think he would have started him today if he was going to use him. Could be completely wrong, though

I think next week he will start on Thursday. The problem is you don't want to start a guy who can only throw an inning or two because he threw 5 on Sunday. Three days rest is not a lot.

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

I think next week he will start on Thursday. The problem is you don't want to start a guy who can only throw an inning or two because he threw 5 on Sunday. Three days rest is not a lot.

Yeah, I don't think you can start a guy tonight who has a hard pitch count cap or inning cap. Maybe in a win-or-go-home scenario like the SECT last year. I think you start a guy who has the availability to keep going if he's on a roll.

I think Mitchell starts next week as well unless Davis has a lights out performance tonight or Mitchell has to throw a bunch Saturday.

 

[WDE_Tarp]

Down 2-0 bottom 2nd. Daniel has 4 K's but he left a 94 mph fastball up and it got blasted for a 2 run homerun.

 

[ALLTIGER85]

Would be nice for Williams to come out if his slump right about now.

 

[WDE_Tarp]

Left the bases loaded in the top of the 3rd. Davis gave up a 2 out bomb. He's throwing well but keeps leaving fastballs up.

 

[Slippin Jimmy]

Left the bases loaded in the top of the 3rd. Davis gave up a 2 out bomb. He's throwing well but keeps leaving fastballs up.

That’s what us beisbol experts call throwing bad

 

[Slippin Jimmy]

Welp we really blew it

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

Missed some chances tonight. Bases loaded, 1 out and got nothing. Holland K with 2nd and 3rd and 1 out. Luckily Williams made some weak contact and forced a tough play that got runs across, but the inning could’ve been bigger. The unfortunate timing of the hit-and-run. Then Venter just misses a HR and we can’t move him at all.

The bullpen pitched well, and we have basically everyone but Daniel still available. Coker can probably give us another inning or two Saturday. And we forced Carracci to throw 3 innings.

 

[WDE_Tarp]

Missed some chances tonight. Bases loaded, 1 out and got nothing. Holland K with 2nd and 3rd and 1 out. Luckily Williams made some weak contact and forced a tough play that got runs across, but the inning could’ve been bigger. The unfortunate timing of the hit-and-run. Then Venter just misses a HR and we can’t move him at all.

The bullpen pitched well, and we have basically everyone but Daniel still available. Coker can probably give us another inning or two Saturday. And we forced Carracci to throw 3 innings.

Yeah there are some positives. Between Mitchell and Davis I'm starting to feel better about possibly getting out of a regional. I think we basically need to go 3-0, but it feels more possible now. Davis' fastball must be flat, because if you're throwing 94-96 and giving up a bunch of home runs that's the only thing that makes sense. We desperately need him to learn to stay low in the zone all the time. If you miss, miss low. If he could just do that, he would be a fine game 3 starter next season.

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

Yeah there are some positives. Between Mitchell and Davis I'm starting to feel better about possibly getting out of a regional. I think we basically need to go 3-0, but it feels more possible now. Davis' fastball must be flat, because if you're throwing 94-96 and giving up a bunch of home runs that's the only thing that makes sense. We desperately need him to learn to stay low in the zone all the time. If you miss, miss low. If he could just do that, he would be a fine game 3 starter next season.

Yeah, I think we have the pitching to deal with a regional. Even Jack Owen showed enough Tuesday to make me feel comfortable about him throwing a fifth game at a regional. Our biggest issue with a regional is what we do if a starter doesn't get 5-6 innings into a game. We really only have Greenhill, Mitchell, Daniel, and Coker to rely on as bullpen arms. Maybe Welby. I'm out on Anderson right now. His numbers are so inflated by the OOC schedule and he's been poor against SEC teams.

That flat fastball has been Davis' issue for a while. And anything that breaks his rhythm up causes him problems. The first single he gave up put him in the stretch, and I think the HR came on the next pitch. That little change causes him to miss for a few pitches until he finds a comfort zone, which is a problem. Overall, I thought he was pretty good last night. Made a few mistakes, and OM made good on those mistakes.I think he needs to find a pitch he can throw for a first-pitch strike besides fastball. Changeup or slider. Something to create some early swings and misses to get hitters on their heels. I know he has a good fastball, but there are plenty of guys who can hit a fastball, especially if they have a good idea it's coming.

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

Got a bad feeling about this one

Here's your game. IMO tonight might be as close to a must-win for this team as we've had all season. We've put ourselves in position to host a regional for the second year in a row, and if they want to host a regional or contend for a national seed, they have to win this game tonight because they don't want to be fighting off a sweep tomorrow.

 

[ALLTIGER85]

Here's your game. IMO tonight might be as close to a must-win for this team as we've had all season. We've put ourselves in position to host a regional for the second year in a row, and if they want to host a regional or contend for a national seed, they have to win this game tonight because they don't want to be fighting off a sweep tomorrow.

We hosted a regional last year?

 

[DufnerFanBoy]

We hosted a regional last year?

No, we struggled down the stretch and lost our chance to host a regional. Same thing could happen here. We’re still in good shape to host, but we can’t get swept this late in the season, even against a top 5 team. Losing a third SEC game with your ace on the mound after having already lost a game in this series would be no bueno.

 

[Slippin Jimmy]

First time I’ll be able to watch CM go a full outing all year. Here’s hoping he doesn’t choke like he did against Florida

 

[ALLTIGER85]

No, we struggled down the stretch and lost our chance to host a regional. Same thing could happen here. We’re still in good shape to host, but we can’t get swept this late in the season, even against a top 5 team. Losing a third SEC game with your ace on the mound after having already lost a game in this series would be no bueno.

Gotcha

 

[Slippin Jimmy]

Making this Fiegel dude look like Roger Clemens so far