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OT: StatTiger's LSU Report Card

ThrustMaxwell

Well-Known Member
Apr 22, 2015
3,958
11,152
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He doesn't sugar coat it folks, just a shit show at every level.

LSU Game Report Card
By StatTiger, 17 hours ago in AU Football Forum

Game #7 Statistical Evaluation (LSU Game)

Offensive Report Card

01) Avg 6-yards per play on 1st down: [3.43] fail
02) Convert at least 40% of 3rd downs: [21.4%] fail
03) Avg at least 4.5 yards per rush: [4.29] fail
04) Score on at least 1/3 of possessions: [35.7%] pass
05) Keep 3 and out series under 33%: [35.7%] fail
06) Average 8.0 yards per pass attempt: [6.35 yds] fail
07) Score at least 75% inside red zone: [100.0%] pass
08) TD red zone above 60%: [33.3%] fail
09) Avg at least 30-yards per possession: [25.2 yds] fail
10) 40% of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [48.6%] pass
11) TD / Turnover ratio above 1.6: [2 / 0] pass
12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 17 snaps: [35.0] fail
13) At least 8 impact plays:
6.gif
fail
14) At least 2 big plays:
2.gif
pass
15) Pass rating of at least 126.3: [100.6] fail

*Minus 1 point for offensive collapse.

Score: 4 of 15 (26.7.0%) Fail

Defensive Report Card:

01) Avg under 6-yards per play on 1st down: [7.56] fail
02) Convert below 35% of 3rd downs: [35.3%] fail
03) Avg at least 4.0 yards per rush or less: [4.02] fail
04) Score 1/3 of possessions or below: [33.3%] fail
05) Keep 3 and out series above 33%: [41.7%] pass
06) Average below 7.5 yards per pass attempt: [8.24 yds] fail
07) Score below 75% inside red zone: [100.0%] pass
08) TD red zone below 60%: [66.7%] fail
09) Avg under 30-yards per possession: [30.2 yds] fail
10) Less than 40% of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [35.9%] pass
11) TD / Turnover ratio below 1.6: [2/1] fail
12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 30 snaps: [32.0] pass
13) Less than 8 impact plays:
6.gif
pass
14) No more than 2 big plays allowed:
4.gif
fail
15) Pass rating below 125.0: [134.4] fail

Score: 5 of 15 (33.3%) Fail

Special Teams Report Card:

1) Punt Average (Above 41.3): [40.0] fail
2) Punt Return Defense (Below 7.8 YPR): [41.5] fail
3) Punt Return Offense (Above 9.8 YPR): [4.0] fail
4) Kick-Return Defense (Below 21.2 YPR): [20.0] pass
5) Kick-Return Offense (Above 22.3 YPR): [19.5] fail
6) PAT’s (100%): [2 / 2] pass
7) FG Pct (75% or above): [3 /3] pass

Score: 3 of 7 (42.8%) Fail

* 50% is a passing score.

Since 1981, Auburn is now 94-3 in games the Tigers scored at least 23 points by halftime. Two of the losses have come under Gus Malzahn. During the same period (1981-2017), Auburn is now 90-7 in games Auburn scores at least 14 points during the first period. Six of the seven losses have come under Gus Malzahn's offense. After taking a 20-0 lead, Auburn had gained 232-yards on 25 snaps. During their next ten possessions, Auburn gained 122-yards on 45 plays. It was an epic collapse on offense, with questionable play-calling after Auburn scored 23 points. After attempting two passes on first down during Auburn's first possession of the game, the Tigers ran the ball 23 of their next 24 first down plays. Auburn gained 75-yards during those 24 first down snaps.

After completing 6 of his first eight passes for 146-yards and one touchdown, Jarrett Stidham finished the game, 3 of 18 for 19-yards. There was virtually no intermediate passing game as 14 of Stidham's 26 pass attempts was either a perimeter pass or a deep ball. Auburn continued their trend of failing to attack the middle of the field, something that came back to haunt them for the second time this season. Kerryon Johnson was the only bright spot on offense with a career-high of 31 carries. He gained 156-yards and scored his 13th touchdown of the season. Once again, Auburn failed to utilize Kam Martin or Devan Bennett in the running game, electing to give four carries to an injured Kamryn Pettway. With Kyle Davis out of the rotation this week, Chip Lindsey and Gus Malzahn failed to throw one ball at Nate Craig-Myers but targeted Sal Cannella four times.

The defense had another failing grade this week, giving up a season-high of four plays of 30-yards or more. Except for the mental errors and the big plays allowed, the Auburn defense played well enough to win the game if the Auburn offense had anything that resembled a pulse during the second-half. Auburn is playing better defense this year, but they are not an "elite" defense. The tackles for loss has diminished since the season opener, and they struggle forcing turnovers, which are hallmark signs of an elite defense. Injuries have hurt the defense, but everyone is dealing with injuries this far into the season. Auburn's bye-week cannot come soon enough, but the Tigers have one more road-game to struggle through before the extra time-off arrives.

Auburn is now 0-2 in games that go towards defining a season. The Clemson loss at the time was a little more tolerable considering it was on the road against the defending national champion. This loss to LSU was a "must-win" for the Auburn Tigers as they were catching an LSU team struggling and injured. Gus Malzahn could not stop the collapse after Auburn blew a 20-0 lead and appeared content with riding out the 23-14 lead at halftime. The players will be resilient enough to bounce back from a colossal failure but will the coaches? We have seen this before under Gus Malzahn, and there is nothing on the horizon to indicate it won't occur again. Running too much on first down and placing your QB in position to throw more on third down than first down. Ride one running back and leave other capable backs on the bench. No use of the tight end for three years now and failure to attack the middle of the field. There is more but the Auburn fanbase already knows the ongoing issues. The only person who has failed to recognize the shortcomings is the man calling all the shots. He had an opportunity to revamp the offense after letting Rhett Lashlee go but he decided to hire an offensive coordinator who was a grad-assistant just four years ago.

War Eagle!
 
A statistical shredding of Gus Malzahn. Wish some beat guys would walk into the pressed with these numbers prepared in forms of questions. There is simply no answer for this other than "I suck"
Eventually some reporters are going to smell blood and not worry about whether their access next year is in danger or not. If it's a different regime next year they have nothing to worry about. I know some scrub message board moderator isn't going to ask the tough questions but if Crepea, Skarbinsky, and more regional folks would take a look at the real stats they could tear Malzahn limb from limb.
 
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